Long-Range Ice Forecasting in the Beaufort Sea

Table of contents

Long-Range Ice Forecasting in the Beaufort Sea

Presentation Outline

Motivation – Climate Change

Motivation – Alaskan North Slope

DATA - BSI

DATA

Best Subsets Regression

October

Predictors

R-Square

Mean Absolute error

0.674 Standard deviation

Conditional forecast

Do some years work better than others?

Physical Links - MYI

PHYSICAL LINKS - TEMPERATURE

Physical links - slp

EA10 (slp)

PDO12 (SLP)

Future work

Author:

E-mail: drobot@colorado.edu

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